'Utter nonsense': PNG's PM rejects LNG report he hadn't read

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'Utter nonsense': PNG's PM rejects LNG report he hadn't read

An LNG well in the PNG highlands operated by Santos

Papua New Guinea's Prime Minister Peter O'Neill has rejected as "utter nonsense" a report — he later admitted he hadn't read — that claims his country would have been better off without a massive liquefied natural gas project.

The report released by the Jubilee Australia Research Centre on Monday said the ExxonMobil-led PNG LNG project had not delivered the massive economic benefits that had been predicted.

Predictions vs outcomes:

  • The size of the economy was predicted to double, but is up only 10 per cent, mostly in the largely foreign-owned resource sector
  • Household incomes were predicted to rise by 84 per cent, but are instead down 6 per cent
  • There was a predicted 42 per cent increase in employment, but employment is actually down 27 per cent
  • Government expenditure was expected to rise by 85 per cent, but is down 32 per cent
  • Imports were predicted to rise by 58 per cent, but are down 73 per cent
  • The only area where outcomes were underestimated was in the export sector, where a 106 per cent increase was forecast. The outcome was an increase of 114 per cent.
Source: Double or Nothing: The Broken Economic Promises of the PNG LNG Project, Jubilee Australia Research Centre

It also claimed the PNG economy would have been better off if the project, PNG's biggest resource venture, had never been constructed.

During a speech to the Australia PNG Business Forum and Trade Expo in Brisbane Mr O'Neill dismissed the report as "fake news".

"Now those kind of assessment [sic] are just an utter nonsense," he said.

"It's quite disappointing to note that some of our experts continue to try and talk down the economy."

After his speech, Mr O'Neill said he had not read the Jubilee Australia report.

He acknowledged the PNG LNG project had not delivered the massive benefits that had been predicted, such as doubling the size of PNG's economy.

But he said that was the result of a drop in the price of oil.

"The flow-on effects of that is that none of the stakeholders will get the benefits that we were all anticipating," he said.

ExxonMobil's LNG plant in PNG's Southern Highlands is expected to begin its first delivery of gas in June 2014.

One of the co-authors of the Jubilee Australia report, economist Paul Flanagan, was in the audience during Mr O'Neill's speech and described it as "disappointing".

He said he stood by the report and its conclusions.

"That report indicated that on almost all economic criteria, welfare has decreased in PNG because of the PNG LNG project," he said.

"We stand by the point that at this stage, because of poor policies, PNG would've been better off without the PNG LNG project."

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